| That’s
the message I got all last week when they weren’t
telling me about Imus or the massacre. The picture you
get is the cartoon with the poor miserable American dollar
reclining in a hospital bed sucking on a thermometer while
worried doctors shake their heads. I’ve been trying
to figure out what all the alarm is about. It’s
paper! As usual, I have a theory, which begins with a
familiar example.
John used to work for American Fool & Die for
$70,000 per year. When one dollar bought 50 rupees,
that company decided it was stupid to pay John so much.
Pradeep could do the same job for 500K rupees = $10,000,
annually. Today, the dollar buys about 41 rupees, so
Pradeep still costs only $12,000 per year, which continues
to be a great deal for American Fool and Die. So they
like things the way they are. But if the dollar lost
so much value that one dollar could only buy 7 rupees,
then they would do well to lay Pradeep off and rehire
John.
So the issue is, which horse do you want to root for?
What are you after? Do you want John to get his job
back or do you want a “strong dollar” so
you live cheaply at your chalet on the Riviera? Do you
care about the American worker, or do you want an affordable
winter vacation on a Thai beach?
OK, I cheated. I skipped over some important details.
Let’s say you need clothes and the country you
live in hasn’t had a clothing industry since Eisenhower
was president. If the local currency drops in value
by a factor of seven, won’t that mean you’ll
no longer be able to afford Pakistani pants?
Gosh-areeno, it sure would, and that would put a lot
of clothing retailers out of business. So someone had
better see to it that the defunct domestic clothing
industry gets the support it needs to get restarted,
and local people get rehired as quickly as possible
to make clothing.
Who might that someone be, who could bail us out,
and save us from going naked? It would be the same someone
who makes sure we have deodorants we need, and iPods
we can’t live without, and Nikes and Adidas without
end. It would be our friendly neighborhood capitalist.
I can see no reason why an unrestrained local market
can’t meet the challenge of a dollar pegged at
as little as a tenth its current value if the fall was
gradual enough. It could even benefit the lowest classes
in America by restoring America’s industry.
My theory so far hasn’t explained where all
the handwringing is coming from. I’m just now
getting to that.
We don’t have a local market. There is no friendly
neighborhood capitalist. This country is already owned
by foreign investors who don’t care about your
stinking money.
The reason there is homelessness in this country is
that years ago the government and the American investor
class decided that the part of the economy represented
by the poorest Americans was expendable. They didn’t
want the little bit of earnings the poor could bring
them. They decided they weren’t worth investing
in.
Foreign investors can just as easily write off the
American middle classes. The United States has less
than five percent of the world’s population. So
in a global economy, we’re no big deal.
The people who pushed world trade on us and who sold
our assets to foreign investors are getting scared that
we are about to catch on to the long-term harm they’ve
done to us. There’s where my theory says the handwringing
is coming from.
Questions for further discussion.
1. Do you really need clothes? Make $10,000 a month
working in your own home, naked!
2. Foreigners are coming here soon on vacations. What
languages will you be learning?
3. If capitalism is the answer, what’s the question?
Sound off and read more: drwesb.blogspot.com. |